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Harris holds slight leads over Trump in key ‘blue wall’ states, showing potential for a strong electoral path in upcoming elections
The 2024 US election is unfolding as one of the most intense races in recent memory with no clear indication of who will be the winner among Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. (AP)
US Vice President Kamala Harris holds a slight lead over former President Donald Trump in key battleground states crucial to her presidential campaign, according to a new Marist Poll released on Friday, less than a week before the elections.
The poll indicates that Harris is leading in ‘Blue Wall’ states, a term that refers to a group of Midwestern states that traditionally vote Democratic in presidential elections. The Democratic nominee is ahead by 3 percentage points in Michigan and 2 points in both Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, The Hill newspaper reported.
In Michigan, Harris leads Trump 51% to 48%, although this represents a slight decline from her 5-point lead in September. However, she has improved her standing among independent voters, increasing her margin from 2 points to 6 points.
NEW @maristpoll:MICHIGANHarris 51% (+3)Trump 48%.WISCONSINHarris 50% (+2)Trump 48%.PENNSYLVANIAHarris 50% (+2)Trump 48%
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) November 1, 2024
Pennsylvania
In Pennsylvania, Harris has gained ground, polling at 50% compared to Trump’s 48%. This marks an improvement from September when both candidates were tied at 49%. Notably, Harris has made significant strides with independent voters in Pennsylvania, now leading by 15 points, a stark contrast to Trump’s previous 4-point lead in that demographic.
Wisconsin shows similar results, with Harris leading Trump by 50% to 48%. This reflects a slight increase from her previous 1-point lead. While she has gained support among independents here as well, her margin of 6 points still trails Biden’s impressive 12-point lead among independents in the state during the last election cycle.
Marist Poll
The Marist Poll also reveals a notable gender gap across these states. Harris leads among women by margins of 11 points in Michigan, 8 points in Pennsylvania, and 12 points in Wisconsin. Conversely, Trump holds an advantage among men, leading by 6 points in Michigan, 4 points in Pennsylvania, and 9 points in Wisconsin.
Overall, the gender gap is significant but has narrowed compared to the previous election cycle. According to The Hill, the polls were conducted from October 27-30 among likely voters: 1,214 in Michigan, 1,400 in Pennsylvania, and 1,330 in Wisconsin. Each state’s margin of error is approximately 3.4 to 3.5 percentage points.
- Location :
Washington D.C., United States of America (USA)
