Election polls live updates: Trump EXTENDS lead in betting odds and has edge over Kamala in critical swing state

Donald Trump has extended his lead over Kamala Harris in election betting odds.

According to ElectionBettingOdds.com, which takes the average of five betting sites, Trump has a 60 percent chance of winning.

Kamala Harris has fallen to a 39 percent chance of victory.

The RealClearPolitics betting average gives Trump a 59 percent chance of reaching the White House.

The prediction site Polymarket has Trump with a 64 percent chance of winning and Harris 36 percent.

On Predictit, another predicition site, he has a lead of 13 points.

Bet 365 gives Trump odds of -163 and Harris +130.

Oddschecker has Trump at -143 and Harris at +150.

Donald Trump has a four-point lead over Kamala Harris in the swing state of Georgia, according to a new poll.

The results in a race that could be decided by just a few thousand votes are a boost for the former president, as the gap is wider than the margin of error.

The poll of 1,000 Georgia voters found 8 percent are still undecided with two weeks until Election Day.

Harris has a commanding lead among black voters with 74 percent compared to Trump’s 8 percent.

But 18 percent still haven’t settled on which candidate they are voting for, with early voting in the vital state underway.

There is also a gender divide, with 59 percent of men saying they will support Trump and 55 percent of women backing Harris.

A staggering number of voters thinks the United States is on the wrong track, a new Reuters-Ipsos poll found two weeks before the election.

The poll also found Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are essentially in a dead heat. Harris had 46% of the vote to Trump’s 43% but the numbers are within the margin of error.

Of more concern is that the poll shows voters are pessimistic than ever about the state of the economy and immigration – and they favor Trump’s approaches to fixing both.

About 70% of registered voters in the poll said their cost of living was on the wrong track, while 60% said the economy was heading in the wrong direction and 65% said the same of immigration policy.

Asked which candidate had the better approach on the issues, Trump led on the economy – 46% to 38% – and on immigration by 48% to 35%.

New plagiarism accusations have surfaced against Vice President Kamala Harris for testimony she delivered as a U.S. senator.

Harris allegedly lifted text ‘verbatim’ from a former colleague for use in written congressional testimony she gave in 2007, according to an analysis by the Washington Free Beacon.

Harris testified in support of the John R. Justice Prosecutors and Defenders Incentive Act of 2007, a bill that would help pay student loans for state and federal prosecutors to keep talented lawyers in the profession.

Harris’ interest in the proposal was personal, as she spent her early years as a career prosecutor before she ran for political office.

But her written statement in support of the proposal sent to the House Judiciary Committee was not tailored to her own experience.

It rather reflected nearly verbatim text sent by District Attorney Paul Logli of Winnebago County, Illinois, a Republican, in support of the bill.

Early voting in South Carolina is smashing records, continuing a trend across states for early voting.

About 125,900 people cast ballots on the first day of early voting on Monday, according to the State Election Commission.

That’s a massive jump from the previous one-day early voting record set in 2022 when just 70,100 people cast ballots.

‘We are thrilled to see voters embracing the convenience of early voting, and we are anticipating a significant turnout for this election,’ said Howie Knapp, Executive Director of the State Election Commission.

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have set their sights on Pennsylvania as key to victory in the presidential election. But it is not their only path to the White House.

Last week, Harris visited the state twice with campaign events in Erie and Washington Crossing, Pennsylvania. Trump campaigned in Oaks, Pennsylvania, and Latrobe outside Pittsburgh.

Pennsylvania with its nineteen electoral votes is the biggest of the seven battleground states that could swing either way and decide the election.

And the latest polling is showing the race in a dead heat in the crucial swing state, with Trump up just half a point in the Real Clear Politics average.

While the path forward to the necessary 270 electoral votes becomes much more complicated without Pennsylvania, it does not mean the race is over for either Trump or Harris.

Ahead of the 2024 Presidential election, see how Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are really faring among voters with DailyMail.com’s brilliant poll tracker.

Readers can view who is winning the head-to-head race as well as the situation in the battleground states that will ultimately decide who gets into the White House.

All of the data used in our analysis comes from Harris versus Trump polls collated by DailyMail.com’s pollsters J.L. Partners and FiveThirtyEight.

By Emily Goodin, senior White House correspondent

Bruce Springsteen will hit the campaign trail for Kamala Harris for the first time.

He will join Harris and Barack Obama in Atlanta on Thursday when the duo campaigns together for the first time.

He’ll also join Obama at a rally in Philadelphia on Monday.

More dates with the rock star are to come, the Harris campaign said.

The 75-year-old rocker endorsed Harris earlier this month, calling Donald Trump ‘the most dangerous candidate for president in my lifetime.’

Sarah Ewall-Wice, Senior U.S. Political Reporter:

Vice President Kamala Harris will head to Texas on Friday to highlight the state’s abortion ban as she makes the case for what’s at stake in the election.

During her visit she will give remarks on the consequences of abortion bans on women’s lives, according to a senior campaign official.

She will make the stop in Houston where she will be joined by Democratic Texas Senate candidate Colin Allred who is in a race against Republican Senator Ted Cruz.

She will also do the Brene Brown podcast while in the state.

Her visit to the state to discuss abortion comes after an analysis by the Gender Equity Policy Institute found the maternal morality cases skyrocketed 56 percent following the state’s abortion ban.

It comes after Harris was in Atlanta on Saturday where she was joined by the family of Amber Thurman. 28-year-old Thurman died after she was unable to get care in the state likely due to its abortion ban.

Polling shows Trump leading Harris by nearly six points in Texas, but the state is seen as one of Democrats’ best chances of picking up a Senate seat. The average of polling in the Senate race shows Cruz leading by less than five points.

Harris will be heading to Georgia ahead of her Texas visit on Friday. On Saturday, she goes to Michigan. She will return to Pennsylvania on Sunday.

By Geoff Earle, Deputy U.S. Political Editor

Donald Trump started his summit with Latino voters with an attack and an awkward flub.

First, Trump slammed his rival, who has no public events on her schedule but who held three events yesterday.

‘She’s sleeping right now. She couldn’t go on the trail. You would think when you had 14 days left she wouldn’t be sleeping,’ Trump said. He accused her of ‘taking a day off’ and said ‘this is not what you want.’

Then he ran through introductions at his Doral golf club he praised local officials.

‘I want to thank all of the representatives from the Doral area, because the mayor and everybody. Where’s Christy?’ Trump asked. The official immediately to his left then tapped him to let him know she was right there. It was Doral Mayor Christi Fraga.

‘Oh, my Christie,’ Trump responded, suddenly realizing she was right next to him. ‘You’ve been so great, and we’ve worked together for a long time,’ Trump said.

by Emily Goodin, Senior White House Correspondent

Eminem will introduce Barack Obama at a campaign rally in Detroit on Tuesday night in support of Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris.

The rapper will not perform, CNN reported, but will give his thoughts on the race before he welcomes the former president to the stage.

Eminem isn’t known for his public appearances, but he will take center stage in the political arena in a key state that could decide the election.

He has been a vocal critic of Donald Trump, even saying he would leave the country if Trump wins this November.

Among his many attacks on the former president, the rapper has accused Trump of ‘brainwashing’ his supporters and of being a ‘racist.’

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump along with their allies have now spent more than half a billion on advertising in Pennsylvania as the battleground state is crucial on their path to the White House.

At $538 million, it’s more than any other swing state by at least $185 million, according to tracking by AdImpact. The state coming in second is Michigan with $353 million in ad spending.

It comes as the Real Clear Politics average of polls shows Trump up by less than a point in the Keystone State.

Harris campaigned in the suburbs of Philadelphia on Monday with Liz Cheney and will be returning to the state Wednesday for a town hall and again on Sunday.

Trump spent the weekend in the state with multiple stops.

According to The Philadelphia Inquirer, top candidates and their running mates have visited the state 76 times since January and 90 times including when President Biden was the nominee.

Trump has made 25 stops in the state through Monday while Harris has made 24 stops with more scheduled.

The FBI confirmed that it is investigating a very serious security breach after classified documents were leaked.

The agency said in a statement to DailyMail.com:

The FBI is investigating the alleged leak of classified documents and working closely with our partners in the Department of Defense and Intelligence Community.

As this is an ongoing investigation, we have no further comment.

Presidential electoral votes

16 awarded to statewide winner.

First votes reported, Nov. 3, 2020: 7:20pm ET

By midnight ET: about 77% of total votes cast were reported.

Both Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican former President Donald Trump have visited Georgia in recent weeks to survey the damage and meet with affected residents and local officials. The exact magnitude of Helene´s impact on the election, including on the state´s voting infrastructure, is difficult to assess and won´t likely be fully understood until after Election Day.

Georgia nonetheless remains one of the top prizes in the presidential election. The state played a key role in 2020, when Joe Biden became the first Democratic presidential candidate to carry the state since Bill Clinton in 1992. Biden defeated Trump in Georgia by less than a quarter of a percentage point, a margin of 11,779 votes.

Trump´s efforts to overturn those results are at the heart of an ongoing criminla case in Fulton County, although it´s currently on hold while the former president´s legal team pursues a pre-trial appeal to have District Attorney Fani Willis removed from the case and the indictment tossed.

The Georgia Court of Appeals will hear those arguments after the election. Willis is seeking another term as Fulton County´s top prosecutor and will appear on the November ballot, facing Republican attorney Courtney Kramer.

Georgia´s governor and U.S. senators are not up for election this year, while all 14 U.S. House seats are not considered competitive. In the state Legislature, where Republicans control both chambers, all 56 state Senate and 180 state House seats are up for election. Democrats hope to chip away at the Republican majorities but have not listed the Georgia Legislature as a top target in November, as they have in a handful of other states.

Georgia state law allows county elections officials to begin tabulating mail ballots at 7 a.m. on Election Day. As a result, the first votes reported on election night will include much of these mail ballots as well as early in-person votes.

Overall, these ballots have tended to favor Democrats, ever since the issue of early and mail voting became highly politicized during the 2020 election. This suggests that the Democratic candidate in a competitive contest could take an early lead in the vote count in the initial vote reports after polls close, even though the race may tighten considerably as more votes are tabulated.

(ASSOCIATED PRESS REPORTING)

Fewer than three in 10 men in Georgia say they will vote for Kamala Harris in the election, a new poll shows.

The final Atlanta Journal-Constitution/University of Georgia survey of the campaign shows the Democrat is still underwater with male voters despite a push to connect from her campaign.

Georgia is a swing state that could be the turning point for either candidate on their path to winning the White House.

There are 16 electoral college votes at stake.

Donald Trump has made the grab for the male vote central to his campaign, with multiple appearances on so-called ‘bro’ podcasts and trips to college football and NFL games.

Just 28 percent of men back Harris, compared to 59 percent who back Trump, according to the poll of 1,000 likely voters.

In addition, the vice president only has a 29 percent job approval among men. Her disapproval rating stands at 59 percent.

Presidential electoral votes

10 awarded to statewide winner.

First votes reported, Nov. 3, 2020: 9:07 p.m. ET.

By midnight ET: about 70 percent of total votes cast were reported.

Wisconsin is no stranger to close presidential elections.

The margin of victory was less than a percentage point in the state’s 2020, 2016, 2004 and 2000 elections. So it might be again this Election Day.

Both Republican former President Donald Trump and Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris are competing hard for the 10 electoral votes at stake in Wisconsin, making frequent stops in the Badger State – including several in the vote-rich Milwaukee, Madison and Green Bay areas.

Wisconsin was one of three ‘blue wall’ states (Michigan and Pennsylvania are the others) that went narrowly for Trump in 2016 after almost 30 years of voting for Democratic presidential candidates.

Four years later, Democrat Joe Biden won all three states back for Democrats with a margin in Wisconsin of about 20,000 votes out of nearly 3.3 million votes cast.

In the state’s U.S. Senate race, Democratic incumbent Tammy Baldwin seeks a third term against Republican Eric Hovde.

Baldwin is one of five vulnerable Senate Democrats defending a seat against a well-funded, Trump-backed challenger in a campaign cycle when a defeat for even one would likely cost the party control of the chamber. Both the Baldwin and Hovde campaigns and their allies have blanketed the state with more than $160 million in advertising, according to data from the campaign ad tracking firm AdImpact.

In the state Legislature, Democrats hope that new district maps will help them chip away at the lopsided majorities Republicans have enjoyed in both chambers for more than a decade.

Almost half of Wisconsin´s 33 state Senate seats and all 99 state Assembly seats are up for election this year.

In the state Assembly, Democrats have their most competitive campaign cycle in years, thanks in large part to the newly redrawn districts and the retirements they helped bring about.

Wisconsin voters will also consider a statewide ballot measure that would amend the state constitution to specifically ban noncitizens from voting in state elections. Noncitizens are already barred from participating in federal elections nationwide, and no state permits them to vote in state elections.

However, some municipalities in a handful of states allow noncitizens to vote in local elections. The issue has prompted efforts by Republicans in Congress and several states to ban the practice entirely.

(ASSOCIATED PRESS REPORTING)

By Emily Goodin, senior White House correspondent

Secretary of State Antony Blinken arrived in Israel as the U.S. tries to revive ceasefire efforts after the killing of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar.

President Joe Biden dispatched Blinken to jump start the talks, saying he was more ‘hopeful’ for a deal now that Sinwar was dead.

It is Blinken’s 11th visit to the region since the war started a year ago after the Oct. 7th attack on Israel.

Blinken’s previous trips have did not result in a ceasefire deal but he did increase humanitarian aid deliveries to Gaza.

The United States, Egypt and Qatar have brokered months of talks between Israel and Hamas, trying to come to a deal where the militants would release dozens of hostages in return for an end to the war, a lasting cease-fire and the release of Palestinian prisoners.

But both Israel and Hamas accused the other of making unacceptable demands.

Blinken is expected to meet with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and other officials, and to visit a number of Arab countries, likely to include Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates.

Robert Kennedy Jr. endorsed former President Donald Trump with the slogan ‘Make America healthy again,’ prompting speculation that the health conscious political figure would not be a fan of the former president serving up hot fries at a Pennsylvania McDonald’s.

But Kennedy reacted by pointing to the burger chain’s history of using beef tallow to fry their french fries.

‘Fast Food is a part of American culture. But that doesn’t mean it has to be unhealthy, and that we can’t make better choices,’ Kennedy wrote on social media.

Kennedy said that the decision by McDonald’s and other restaurants in the 1990’s to use seed oils to make their french fries was unhealthy, and that they should return to using beef tallow.

‘Americans should have every right to eat out at a restaurant without being unknowingly poisoned by heavily subsidized seed oils,’ he wrote. ‘It’s time to Make Frying Oil Tallow Again.’

A man impersonating a former student of Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz created a video accusing the teacher of sexual assault.

The ‘fake’ former student of Gov. Walz described in detail for four-minutes an incident he claimed happened in 1997 – but it now appears that the clip is a deepfake created and distributed by Russian propagandists.

‘My name is Matthew Metro,’ said the man in the video, who went on to share real details about the former student of Walz’s.

Democrats are leading in early voting but Republicans are encouraged by their turnout.

Republicans appear to have backed the process of early voting more than in previous elections.

So far, at least 15 million people have voted in person or by mail.

Of those, 47 percent have been registered Democrats and 33 percent registered Republicans.

The total includes over 5 million in the even key swing states, according to the University of Florida’s Election Lab.

Republicans say the violations include the ‘scheduling and funding of Chair Khan’s campaign travel to appear at several events with various Democratic congressional candidates.’

Former Republican Congresswoman Liz Cheney is out campaigning hard for Kamala Harris, but she also believes millions of Republicans will quietly vote for the vice president over Donald Trump come November.

The conservative former lawmaker and Harris make an odd pair on the campaign trail, but on Monday, they hit the road together for a series of events in the battleground states that make up Democrats’ so-called blue wall.

Speaking at a campaign event in suburban Oakland County, Michigan outside Detroit, Cheney said while she is making the public case for Republicans to vote for a Democrat, she won’t be the only one.

Hawaii, Utah, Missouri and Wisconsin have kicked off early in-person voting ahead of Election Day.

Wisconsin is one of the seven battleground states that could ultimately decide who wins the race.

It is part of the ‘Blue Wall’ which is a critical part of a path for Kamala Harris to take victory.

The state is one of three in the Rust Belt that voted for Donald Trump in 2016.

In 2020, President Joe Biden won the state by 20,682 votes – a gap over Trump of just 0.7 percent.

Donald Trump is pulling away from Kamala Harris with a demographic that is key to major swing-state Michigan.

A new Arab News/YouGov survey found 45 percent of Arab Americans polled said they are most likely to vote for the Republican former president Trump, while 43 percent would likely vote for the Democratic sitting vice president Harris.

Another 4 percent said they would vote for Green Party candidate Jill Stein and 2 percent would not reveal their choice.

The poll surveyed 500 Arab Americans nationwide in late September. Trump’s advantage, however, is within the margin of error for the poll of plus or minus 5.93 percent.

The pollsters said their findings also suggest a massive Arab-American turnout of eligible Arab-American voters for the Nov. 5 presidential election, projecting 87 percent will vote.

Heightening the impact of the Israel-Gaza war and the Biden-Harris administration’s handling of it on this year’s race, the survey found 43 percent of those polled said they voted for Joe Biden in 2020, compared to just 34 pecent for Trump.

But that support has fallen by the waysides with Biden’s support for Israel’s offensives in Gaza and Lebanon in the wake of the Oct. 7 Hamas incursion, where terrorists killed 1,200 men, women and children and 254 people were taken hostage into Gaza.

The results track with a poll earlier this month by the Arab American Institute, which had Trump over Harris, 42 percent to 41 percent.

Arnon Mishkin, the head of Fox News’ decision desk, has made some big calls in past elections.

He says this one is so close it may take four days before the election is officially decided for Kamala Harris or Donald Trump.

The election is on Tuesday, November 5 and he said the decision may not be reached until the Saturday after the election.

He told Politico ‘the over/under is Saturday’ and added:

The race seems very, very close. I think we have to accept the reality that we don’t really know how close this election is going to be. I’m pretty sure it’s going to be close.

I think the real issue is what happens to Trump. I’ve always thought this about this election: It’s less about who’s running against him than it’s about Trump.

After three-and-a-half years of record breaking illegal immigration over the southern border, yet another migrant caravan is heading towards the U.S.

With just 15 days left until the presidential elections, the large group of asylum seekers are taking a shot to see if they can get into the country ahead of a potentially major shift in border policies.

It is just the latest example of the widespread influence that the 2024 American elections will have on the world.

Approximately 2,000 migrants departed Mexico’s southern border to head to the U.S. with worries over what will happen after November’s election, according to the Associated Press.

McDonald’s has finally revealed why it does not have records to verify Vice President Kamala Harris’ claim that she worked at one of its restaurants in the 1980s.

In a memo emailed to McDonald’s USA franchisees the corporation confirmed that while Harris had ‘fond memories’ of working at a location in Alameda County, ‘we and our franchisees don’t have records for all positions dating back to the early ’80s.’

A copy of the internal letter was posted by an anonymous McDonald’s franchise on social media and confirmed by the Wall Street Journal.

During a rally with fast food workers in 2019, Harris said she used to work at McDonald’s in college.

In April 2024, during an interview with the Drew Barrymore show, Harris repeated her claim that she ‘did fries’ at the restaurant.

Trump confidant and former chief strategist Steve Bannon says Kamala Harris’ run for president is doomed by her record in office and failure to act on Donald Trump’s criminal justice reform.

That means she is losing support from some of the key voter groups that will decide the election, he said.

He sent his statement from federal prison in Danbury, Connecticut, where he is in the final days of a four-month sentence for contempt of Congress.

And he said he should have been released by now under Trump legislation that reduced sentences for non-violent offenders.

‘The “Queen of Mass Incarceration,” Kamala Harris, will lose her bid for the presidency on 5 November because of black and Hispanic men rejecting her candidacy and refusing to vote for her due to her failure to implement President Trump’s First Step Act,’ he said in a statement first obtained by the National Pulse.

‘Tens of thousands of Black and Hispanic men should now be back with their families or on a detailed path of when they leave prison.’

Donald Trump said he has finally won the respect of one of the biggest stars in Hollywood and wrestling – leaving the door open for a surprise last-minute endorsement.

Trump appeared on the podcast for WWE legend The Undertaker Monday when he discussed his uncertain relationship with Dwayne ‘The Rock’ Johnson – and how things suddenly changed.

‘I never thought he liked me, and I felt badly, because I think he’s a terrific guy,’ Trump admitted.

Trump then explained that he received a surprise call from UFC promoter Dana White. White told him The Rock was impressed by his defiant reaction after an assassination attempt in Pennsylvania, and wanted to talk.

The accolades come amid neck-and-neck polling in the race against Vice President Kamala Harris and an endorsement from the WWE star would rival Harris’ coveted support from pop superstar Taylor Swift.

A town hall event with Vice President Kamala Harris on Monday featured a shocking revelation after one voter simply wondered whether she could ask a question.

Former California First Lady Maria Shriver admitted while hosting the event with former Rep. Liz Cheney in Royal Oak, Michigan that she would only include ‘predetermined questions.’

‘Are we going to be able to ask a question?’ asked a woman in the audience.

‘You’re not, unfortunately we have some predetermined questions,’ Shriver replied. ‘And hopefully I’ll be able to ask some of the questions that might be in your head, I hope so.’

Typically, presidential campaigns allow voters at townhall meetings to ask unscripted questions, which lends a level of authenticity to the proceedings and highlights a presidential candidate’s personal touch.

A slew of polls showing Donald Trump gaining ground or extending his lead over Kamala Harris has had a dramatic impact on his overall chances of winning November’s presidential election.

The former president has shot out to his biggest lead yet in our DailyMail.com/J.L. Partners election model.

It shows that he now wins in 65.9 percent of simulations when the algorithm runs through all possible combinations of data.

That is a big jump from Friday when the model was last run. Then he won in 61.4 percent of simulations.

With just two weeks to go until Election Day, it suggests time is running out for the vice president.