How AI And Trump’s Policies Could Hinder Your Next Salary Rise

How AI And Trump’s Policies Could Hinder Your Next Salary Rise

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India Inc is expected to witness an average salary increase of 9.2% in 2025, slightly lower than 2024

Salary Trends In 2025

India Inc is expected to witness an average salary increase of 9.2% in 2025, slightly lower than the 9.3% hike in 2024, as companies navigate global uncertainties, including Trump’s trade policies and a slowing global economy, according to the latest Aon salary survey.

Declining Salary Growth Since 2022

The study highlights a downward trend in salary increments since 2022, when companies offered a record 10.6% increase, fueled by the Great Resignation of 2021. During the COVID-19 pandemic, a significant wave of voluntary resignations forced companies to raise salaries to retain talent.

Now in its 30th year, the survey analyzed salary data from over 1,400 companies across 45 industries.

Stable Economy But External Challenges Persist

Despite external pressures, India’s economic outlook remains strong, supported by rising rural demand and sustained private consumption, says Roopank Chaudhary, Partner and Rewards Consulting Leader for Talent Solutions at Aon.

“The downward trend in salary increments reflects global economic and geopolitical shifts, including the impact of U.S. trade policies, conflicts in the Middle East, and rapid advancements in generative AI,” Chaudhary explained.

With companies facing margin pressures, a moderation in salary hikes is a natural outcome, he added.

Industry Actual Salary Increase 2024 (%) Projected Salary Increase 2025 (%)
Engineering Design Services 10.1 10.2
Automotive/Vehicle Manufacturing 10.7 10.2
Nonbanking Financial Companies 10.1 10.1
Retail 9.6 9.8
GCC 9.4 9.7
Engineering/Manufacturing 9.7 9.7
Real Estate/Infrastructure 10.6 9.7
Life Sciences 9.5 9.6
Professional Services 8.9 9.5
Technology Platforms & Products 9.5 9.4
E-commerce 9.1 9.3
Chemicals 8.6 9.2
FMCG/FMCD 9.3 9.1
Services 8.8 8.9
Banking 9.1 8.8
Technology consulting & services 7.6 7.7
Overall India 9.3 9.2

Source: Aon

The survey also revealed a decline in overall attrition rates to 17.7% in 2024, down from 18.7% in 2023 and 21.4% in 2022. This suggests a larger talent pool post-Great Resignation, driven by higher workforce participation despite growing self-employment and entrepreneurial activity.

“In a globally connected world, shifting government policies, business strategies, and workforce expectations will continue to shape India’s economy and job market,” said Amit Kumar Otwani, Associate Partner for Talent Solutions at Aon.

“To stay ahead, companies need comprehensive market insights, data-driven decision-making, and advanced technology to anticipate shifts and strategically prepare for the future,” he concluded.

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