Masters 2025 big board: Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and other Augusta favorites

Masters 2025 big board: Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and other Augusta favorites

AUGUSTA, Ga. — When the Masters begins on Thursday, there’ll be no shortage of top contenders.

Scottie Scheffler is seeking to become the first back-to-back champion since Tiger Woods more than 20 years ago, and only the second to win three times in four years (Jack Nicklaus, of course, was the first.).

Rory McIlroy is seeking to end an 11-year drought between major championships. A Masters victory would also complete the career grand slam. No one has played better golf this year on the PGA Tour, with wins at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and the Players Championship.

Xander Schauffele, after breaking through a year ago with PGA and Open Championship wins for the first majors of his career, could suddenly be three-fourths of the way to his own grand slam with a green jacket.

Then there’s Jon Rahm, seeking a second Masters; Collin Morikawa, pursuing a third major championship; and Ludvig Aberg, trying for his first major in his second full pro season.

Or will someone emerge seemingly out of nowhere to win the Masters and make the visit to Butler Cabin on Sunday afternoon?

Ahead of this year’s Masters, The Athletic has a big board of its top 30 contenders, as voted on by its golf staff.

Loading

Try changing or resetting your filters to see more.

There’s little debate over who should be No. 1. Scheffler is the best player in the world and has won the tournament two of the last three years. The question is whether Scheffler is the kind of No. 1 he was in 2024. After cutting his hand on broken glass and having surgery, Scheffler has been both good and volatile in six starts. All six have been top 25s, but his elite short game has been off and he’s working on getting his driver back to usual form. Still, Scheffler is the best Masters player in the field and he’s coming off an excellent T2. He will be fascinating to watch. — Brody Miller

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

2 wins (’22, ’24)

Best previous major finish

2 wins

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Scottie Scheffler’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

25-29

United States

PGA Tour

McIlroy with massive expectations at Augusta National? What could go wrong? No matter how cynical you’ve become about McIlroy at majors, you can’t ignore how well he’s playing right now. He has three wins — the Players, Pebble Beach, the DP World Tour Championship — in his last seven starts. He looks as confident as ever but with more discipline and strategy. Technically, he’s never played better golf leading into the Masters in his whole career. It’s fair to be skeptical. It’s also fair to believe. — Miller

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

2 (2022)

Best previous major finish

4 wins

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Rory McIlroy’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

30-35

Northern Ireland

PGA Tour

When Åberg finished second at last year’s Masters — in his first ever major start — it solidified his arrival as the most exciting young talent in the game. Now, Åberg is 25 and just won the Genesis Invitational at Torrey Pines. He’s been a little erratic at times, mixing in a 77 with three good rounds, so that should be monitored. But the other top names beneath him have the same concerns. Åberg is a premier talent who was tied for the lead at Augusta National with eight holes to go in 2024. Even if No. 3 is aggressive, he’s special. — Miller

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

2 (2024)

Best previous major finish

2 (Masters, 2024)

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Ludvig Aberg’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

Four months ago, there was no denying Schauffele was a top-two player in the world. The only reason he’s not anymore is a rib injury that held him out for two months. His three starts back have been frustrating — he made progress with a T12 at Valspar — but you can’t deny the golfer who’s won two of the last three majors. He’s also somebody who plays the Masters as well as any other major with four top 10s in his last six starts. We have zero idea which Schauffele we’re going to get, but if it’s the good Schauffele, he’s probably higher on this list. — Miller

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

T2 (2019)

Best previous major finish

2 wins

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Xander Schauffele’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

30-35

United States

PGA Tour

On a list full of wild cards, there may be no golfer more interesting and unpredictable than Rahm entering this major season. After going to LIV — where even his good golf is harder to contextualize — last year, Rahm had a messy major season with a T45 at the Masters, a missed cut at the PGA Championship and a WD from the U.S. Open with a foot infection before a promising T7 at the Open Championship. Rahm is still No. 4 overall on DataGolf, though. He’s an elite golfer with a Masters win just two years ago, yet none of us know exactly what he is now. My advice? Don’t discount Jon Rahm. — Miller

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

Win (2023)

Best previous major finish

2 wins

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Jon Rahm’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

So why is the No. 1 tee-to-green player in the world in 2025 — a player with two career majors — sixth on the list? It’s simple. It’s difficult to trust him these days. If we’re talking pure golf form, he’s probably behind only McIlroy. But Morikawa has had some Sunday issues. In 2024 alone, he went from the final group at the Masters to seven shots back. At the PGA, he was in the final group and finished six back. In a vacuum, Morikawa should be a favorite this week, especially after three consecutive Masters top 10s. The question is if he can take it. — Miller

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

T3 (2024)

Best previous major finish

2 wins

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Collin Morikawa’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

25-29

United States

PGA Tour

Where do you put more weight? In DeChambeau’s 2024, when he won the U.S. Open, nearly won the PGA Championship and had the first-round lead at the Masters? Or the nine years prior without a Masters top 10? Augusta National has never been a perfect fit for DeChambeau’s distance-focused game, but he’s also earned the benefit of the doubt after an epic 2024. The hard part is that he hasn’t had a super encouraging start to the season on LIV. So it’s fair to reduce expectations this week. — Miller

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

T6 (2024)

Best previous major finish

2 wins

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Bryson DeChambeau’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

Thomas is definitively back, playing like a week-in, week-out top-10 golfer on tour. He has four top-10 finishes already this season and ranks No. 5 in the world on DataGolf. So yes, Thomas has returned from his two years in the wilderness with beautiful ball striking and improved putting. He’s been lurking around contention each week, so the question now is if he can win again. In his two PGA Championship victories, he came through in tough conditions and tight leaderboards. But the Masters hasn’t been good to him; he missed cuts the last two years. — Miller

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

4 (2020)

Best previous major finish

2 wins

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Justin Thomas’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

30-35

United States

PGA Tour

Matsuyama is the ultimate “he has it or he doesn’t” golfer. When he is on, there aren’t more than three golfers better than him. When he’s off, he’ll miss cuts like he has the past two weeks and hang around mediocrity. Therein lies the rub. We’ve seen good Matsuyama recently, winning the FedEx St. Jude playoff event in August and the signature event Sentry in January. And, of course, we’ve seen him thrive at Augusta National with his 2021 win. We don’t know which Matsuyama we’re going to get, but he can win without a doubt. — Miller

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

Win (2022)

Best previous major finish

1 win

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Hideki Matsuyama’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

When Koepka won his fifth major in May 2023, the narrative that he was the modern game’s great major player was rightfully solidified. Since then, Koepka has gone five straight majors without a top 25. He’s been volatile on LIV this season, and his driving numbers off the tee have been at a career low. He’s actually losing strokes off the tee despite being an excellent driver. It’s difficult to feel confident in Brooks this week, but we’ve all been through this before. It’s the classic Koepka conundrum: He rarely ever plays good regular-season golf despite being one of the sport’s greatest competitors. He can grind it out and compete at any tough test. It’s just rarely predictable. — Miller

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

T2 (’19, ’23)

Best previous major finish

2 wins

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Brooks Koepka’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

Niemann only has one top-20 finish at Augusta National, but has found himself firmly in the conversation around tournament favorites in recent years. The Chilean is one of the hottest LIV golfers in the Masters field, with two individual wins this calendar year. Niemann has consistently made an effort to play DP World Tour events, and he has taken advantage of those opportunities. He made back-to-back appearances at the ISPS Handa Australian Open, where he won in 2023 and finished T5 in 2024. According to DataGolf, Niemann is currently ranked second in strokes gained off the tee and 11th in strokes gained approach, two statistics that could be useful here with its tight fairways and table-top greens. — Gabby Herzig

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

T16 (2023)

Best previous major finish

T16 (Masters, 2023)

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Joaquin Niemann’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

One of the most consistent players on the PGA Tour, Henley is coming into Masters week perhaps as a dark horse to the broader sports community, but an extremely reliable pick for those familiar with his recent form. Henley has proven to be a top American talent with precision and accuracy across his game. He’s coming into the tournament with a high-profile victory on his 2025 resume (the Arnold Palmer Invitational). Henley has made the cut in seven consecutive Masters, so even if he doesn’t come home with a green jacket this week, he’s probably going to at least be high up on the leaderboard . — Herzig

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

T4 (2023)

Best previous major finish

T4 (Masters, 2023)

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Russell Henley’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

30-35

United States

PGA Tour

Lowry will have an excellent shot at contending at this year’s Masters because of one skill in particular: his iron game. Lowry is one of the five best iron players in the world right now. On average, he’s gaining nearly a full shot with his approach game every round he plays on the PGA Tour. That area of Lowry’s game has already served him particularly well in 2025. He has four top-12 finishes this calendar year, including a solo second-place finish at Pebble Beach, which boasts some of the smallest greens the pros play. Not only is Lowry a major champion, but he’s also proved that he can consistently put himself in contention at all the majors. — Herzig

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

T3 (2022)

Best previous major finish

1 win

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Shane Lowry’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

The best player on the PGA Tour without a victory, Fleetwood is another player whose iron game should allow him to shine at Augusta National, where pins will be placed in sections of the greens that are only accessible via a perfectly positioned approach shot. He gains .7 shots with his irons on average every round, and this year, that has led him to five consecutive finishes in the top 22 on the PGA Tour, including a T5 finish at the Genesis Invitational. Fleetwood’s performance at last year’s Masters was his best yet, and it’s increasingly feeling like it’s only a matter of time before the Englishman snags a major win. He has finished in the top five at all four at various points in his career, including second-place finishes at the 2018 U.S. Open and the 2019 Open Championship. — Herzig

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

T3 (2024)

Best previous major finish

2 (’18, ’19 U.S. Opens)

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Tommy Fleetwood’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

Fond memories at Augusta National can never hurt, and Cantlay has one to hold on to: As a sophomore at UCLA in 2012, Cantlay was the low amateur. Now, Cantlay, 33, is headed into his ninth Masters start in excellent early-season form, with two top-five finishes on his 2025 record and a T12 at the Players Championship. Getting over the hump and actually winning the championship could be difficult. He consistently performs well in team events, like last year’s Presidents Cup, where he played a key role, and always seems to climb the leaderboard during the regular PGA Tour season. But despite being one of the steadier players in the world, he tends to come up short on the biggest stages. — Herzig

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

T9 (2019)

Best previous major finish

T3 (’19 PGA, ’23 U.S. Open)

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Patrick Cantlay’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

30-35

United States

PGA Tour

Hovland has repeatedly switched swing coaches during the last 18 months, searching for a feel that he says he needs to find again, inspired by the motion he made at the ball in his early days as a professional. That journey has led Hovland to ups and downs, but mostly the latter: rounds of 80+, long evenings at the driving range and a feeling of coming into a tournament knowing he’s probably not going to contend. That all changed when Hovland surprised both the golf community and himself by winning the Valspar Championship in March. He realized he could take home a trophy without his best stuff. The timing of Hovland’s potential emergence from swing-adjustment purgatory could bode well for him at the Masters. — Herzig

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

T7 (2023)

Best previous major finish

T2 (’23 PGA)

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Viktor Hovland’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

For a second there, it looked to be the year of Straka. The Austrian golfer went on a tear at the beginning of the PGA Tour season that included a win at the American Express, a T7 finish at Pebble, and a top 15 at the WM Phoenix Open. The streak hasn’t ended — Straka has continued to float around the top of leaderboards with his iron game serving as a guiding force. He’s ranked fifth in strokes gained approach, second in greens in regulation and third in proximity to the hole. Augusta National is a second-shot golf course. If Straka maintains the form he’s carried all season, it would come as no surprise to see him making a run at the Green Jacket because he is statistically favored to fare well at the Alister MacKenzie design. — Herzig

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

T16 (2024)

Best previous major finish

T2 (’23 Open)

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Sepp Straka’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

Zalatoris’ 2025 resume isn’t the shiniest — he’s made all seven cuts, posting one top 12 and three top 30s. But the 28-year-old is trending in a very positive direction now that he’s fully recovered from back surgery, and Augusta National could be the perfect place for that arc to reach its peak. Zalatoris is another player who leans heavily on his iron game. He ranked 18th on the PGA Tour in strokes gained approach and 14th in proximity to the hole. He has one of the strongest Augusta National records of the young Americans on tour right now: a solo second in 2021, T6 in 2022 and T9 in 2024, one year after he was forced to withdraw due to injury and undergo his microdiscectomy. If anything will hold Zalatoris back at Augusta, it will be his putting. Zalatoris is ranked No. 130 on the PGA Tour in strokes gained putting. — Herzig

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

2 (2021)

Best previous major finish

2 (3 times)

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Will Zalatoris’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

25-29

United States

PGA Tour

Hatton won the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship in October, the Hero Dubai Desert Classic on the DP World Tour in January and has one top-six finish on LIV this year. Hatton’s record in the majors is spotty. He’s posted a top-10 finish at each of them, including a T9 at last year’s Masters, but he’s also underperformed quite a few times. Hatton’s biggest hurdle at this year’s tournament might be himself: He’s infamous for his outbursts and has been open about several holes at Augusta National living “rent-free” in his head. — Herzig

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

T9 (2024)

Best previous major finish

T5 (’16 Open)

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Tyrrell Hatton’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

The 2025 Ryder Cup Captain is playing more like a contender for the U.S. team right now than the man responsible for putting it together. In eight starts this calendar year, Bradley, 38, has two top-six finishes and two top 15s. His game has been consistent across almost every strokes gained category this season — he floats around No. 25 on the PGA Tour in strokes gained total, off the tee and approach to green. But the flatstick has posed major issues for Bradley (he’s No. 129 in putting), and that statistic alone could hold him back from a similar success at Augusta National. The former PGA champion also has not cracked the top 20 in his eight starts at the Masters. — Herzig

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

T22 (2015)

Best previous major finish

1 win

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Keegan Bradley’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

36-40

United States

PGA Tour

At 45 years and 3 months old, Garcia would be the second-oldest Masters champion in history, behind only Jack Nicklaus. Presuming he cannot win would be folly, as the Spaniard has enjoyed a late-career renaissance over the last calendar year. That includes two LIV wins, the most recent coming last month, and a solo third-place finish at LIV Miami last week. His peers off the tee right now are 20-somethings like Åberg and Morikawa, making an 11th Ryder Cup appearance almost a certainty. — Hugh Kellenberger

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

Win (2017)

Best previous major finish

1 win

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Sergio Garcia’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

A classic compiler, Conners is not a great pick to win the Masters, though he does have a pair of top-10 finishes in the last four years. Oh yeah, and his last four starts are a solo third-place finish at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, top 10s at the Players and Valspar, and a T18 at the Valero Texas Open last week. Every part of his game works, so it’s not like we can point to some obvious flaw. So why can’t he win? On paper, he can, though it remains to be seen whether he has the intangibles necessary to be a major champion. — Kellenberger

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

T6 (2022)

Best previous major finish

T6 (’22 Masters)

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Corey Conners’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

The 26-year-old Australian had his breakthrough moment last month at the Houston Open, beating world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler and Gary Woodland by a stroke for his first PGA Tour championship. Lee touches 190 mph ball speed regularly, and averages 316 yards off the tee, third on the tour. But controlling that ball is his biggest challenge. Augusta National is so exacting off the tee that Lee will not be able to grip it and rip it all that often. — Kellenberger

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

T14 (2022)

Best previous major finish

T5 (’23 U.S. Open)

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Min Woo Lee’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

Berger is back for his first Masters since 2022, after back surgery caused him to miss most of the last two years. The comeback tour in 2024 had its moments but was predictably uneven, and Berger has had a much more successful 2025 thus far. He was one of the best Americans in golf when the injury took him down, so Berger has potential. — Kellenberger

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

T50 (2022)

Best previous major finish

T6 (’18 U.S. Open)

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Daniel Berger’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

30-35

United States

PGA Tour

Leaving last year’s Players Championship, Clark had a stake as the second-best player in the world. What’s happened since, with zero wins and two top-five finishes, has pushed him well down the depth chart. This could be regression to the mean — remember, he was an out-of-nowhere 2023 U.S. Open winner. Or it could be the peaks and valleys that most professional golfers face during their careers. Clark will need a strong major season to make this year’s Ryder Cup team. — Kellenberger

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

Cut (2024)

Best previous major finish

1 win

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Wyndham Clark’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

30-35

United States

PGA Tour

It was essentially a lost major season for Smith in 2024, with a solo sixth finish at the Masters the only bright light in it. Missing the cut at the Open, which he won in 2022, had to be tough. It’s undeniable that Smith’s game has faded since his move to LIV — he’s currently 29th in the breakaway circuit’s season-long standings, and that’s just not his potential. The driver has been a sore spot. — Kellenberger

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

T2 (2020)

Best previous major finish

1 win

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Cameron Smith’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

It’s long been theorized that left-handers have an advantage at Augusta National, with its tight corridors and the direction of its dogleg holes, and that knowing how to play the wind also increases a contender’s chances of winning the Masters. So here you have MacIntyre, a lefty from Scotland, arriving back at Augusta National this week. He was T12 and T23 in his two Masters, the last three years ago. He’s a better golfer now. — Kellenberger

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

T12 (2021)

Best previous major finish

T6 (’19 Open)

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Robert MacIntyre’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

A Masters rookie, McNealy has elevated himself to a new level in his age-29 season. After winning the RSM Classic to close out 2024, McNealy nearly won the Genesis Invitational and is coming off a T3 at the Valero Texas Open. Once a baseline player with his irons and around the greens, McNealy has turned himself into a positive. It’s not as flashy as the driver, but it’s made all the difference for him. — Kellenberger

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

Rookie

Best previous major finish

T23 (’24 PGA)

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Maverick McNealy’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

25-29

United States

PGA Tour

A decade removed from his Masters win, Spieth returns to Augusta National hoping to claim a second green jacket. Can he do it? Coming off offseason wrist surgery, Spieth is by no means the favorite. He is still rounding his game into shape, and while he has been able to flash here and there, he hasn’t stacked up four really good rounds. — Kellenberger

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

Win (2015)

Best previous major finish

3 wins

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Jordan Spieth’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

30-35

United States

PGA Tour

The unquestioned MVP of TGL is seeking his first major championship. Augusta National and Horschel have not gotten along in recent years — his best finish is a T17 back in 2016. Two worldwide wins in 2024 suggested Horschel was still capable of playing elite golf, and while his traditional golf form has not been excellent in 2025, it’s been good enough to think he can compete this major season. — Kellenberger

Performance last 5 tournaments

Best previous Master finish

T38 (2020)

Best previous major finish

T2 (’24 Open)

Strokes Gained

The bars below represent Billy Horschel’s percent rank when compared to all 2024 Masters competitors.

36-40

United States

PGA Tour

(Illustration: Will Tullos / The Athletic; Photos: Harry How, Richard Heathcote, Jonathan Bachman / Getty Images)

0 Shares:
Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

You May Also Like